May's Conservatives maintain 14-point lead over Labour - ICM poll

Claudine Rigal
Mai 29, 2017

Although Labour may take heart from some of the data, polls have tended to overstate support for the party in previous general elections - in the run-up to the 2015 election several gave Ed Miliband a lead over David Cameron, only for Labour to end up nearly 7% behind on polling day.

The poll put the Conservatives on 46 percent and Labour on 32 per cent, little changed from the previous ICM poll on May 22 which put the Conservatives on 47 per cent and Labour on 33 per cent.

The ORB poll for the Sunday Telegraph had Tories down two points in the past week on 44%, six points ahead of Corbyn's Labour on 38% (up four points), with Lib Dems on 7% (unchanged) and Ukip on 5% (down two).

The 38 per cent score equals Labour's best rating since Mr Corbyn became leader and would see him comfortably outpoll Ed Miliband and Gordon Brown's election results if repeated on June 8.

ICM said support for the Liberal Democrats was at 8 percent and the UK Independence Party at 5 percent.

Four opinion polls published on Saturday indicated that May's lead had narrowed by a range of two to six percentage points, illustrating that the upcoming June 8 election might end up being much closer than previously thought when she called for the snap vote.

The ComRes poll found May was rated best leader to keep Britain safe from terrorism, by a margin of 42 percent to 16 percent for Mr Corbyn.

But her ratings on this and nearly every other measure had declined over the fortnight since the questions were last asked, while the Labour leader's had improved.

Opinium said May's approval ratings had dropped to plus 11 percent from plus 17 percent, while Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn's approval ratings had risen to minus 11 from minus 18.

The party is 57 points ahead of the Conservatives among voters under 25 years old, according to the poll, compared to 28 points shortly after the snap vote was called in April.

ComRes said the lead of May's Conservatives had fallen to 12 percentage points in an online poll carried out May 24-26, from 18 percentage points in a comparable poll on May 13.

A YouGov survey of 2,003 people between May 25-26 also indicated that May's lead had narrowed to seven percentage points from nine a week ago.

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